Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.002864 0.003070 0.003294 0.003556 0.003858 0.004199 0.004616
2024-12-22 0.002604 0.002890 0.003220 0.003639 0.004166 0.004824 0.005739
2024-12-29 0.002422 0.002756 0.003163 0.003710 0.004451 0.005470 0.007079
2025-01-05 0.002230 0.002580 0.003021 0.003639 0.004525 0.005836 0.008154
2025-01-12 0.002055 0.002406 0.002856 0.003506 0.004477 0.006001 0.008960
2025-01-19 0.001954 0.002314 0.002788 0.003494 0.004596 0.006446 0.010489
2025-01-26 0.001792 0.002130 0.002578 0.003251 0.004319 0.006153 0.010333
2025-02-02 0.001737 0.002084 0.002553 0.003278 0.004475 0.006667 0.012353
2025-02-09 0.001711 0.002075 0.002579 0.003381 0.004772 0.007541 0.016193
2025-02-16 0.001663 0.002032 0.002550 0.003395 0.004913 0.008136 0.020049
2025-02-23 0.001648 0.002035 0.002588 0.003519 0.005281 0.009408 0.030118
2025-03-02 0.001597 0.001982 0.002539 0.003491 0.005345 0.009938 0.038586
2025-03-09 0.001535 0.001912 0.002465 0.003423 0.005333 0.010320 0.049806
2025-03-16 0.001510 0.001898 0.002475 0.003504 0.005661 0.011963 0.118786
2025-03-23 0.001484 0.001879 0.002477 0.003571 0.005978 0.013895 2.199894
2025-03-30 0.001433 0.001821 0.002412 0.003505 0.005966 0.014549 NaN
2025-04-06 0.001375 0.001748 0.002320 0.003381 0.005789 0.014369 NaN
2025-04-13 0.001342 0.001714 0.002288 0.003370 0.005896 0.015671 NaN
2025-04-20 0.001270 0.001617 0.002149 0.003142 0.005413 0.013691 NaN
2025-04-27 0.001250 0.001599 0.002140 0.003167 0.005598 0.015374 NaN
2025-05-04 0.001244 0.001602 0.002166 0.003264 0.005999 0.018975 NaN
2025-05-11 0.001223 0.001582 0.002152 0.003277 0.006170 0.021524 NaN
2025-05-18 0.001221 0.001590 0.002185 0.003394 0.006688 0.028934 NaN